Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense 2 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday


	Caravaggio		Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.55
	2.71	2.63	2.71
	2.68	2.87	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3.06	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.19)	2.87 ↓ (3.13)	2.64 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaggio
34.4%

Draw
31.5%

Santa Catarina
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caravaggio's form might have worsened.

Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caravaggio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Catarina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caravaggio - Santa Catarina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Caravaggio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santa Catarina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caravaggio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caravaggio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Caravaggio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caravaggio FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
11.08.24	Caravaggio - Grêmio Juventus	3:1 ✺
04.08.24	Grêmio Juventus - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Caravaggio - Metropolitano	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Atlético Tubarão - Caravaggio	2:2 ✺
06.07.24	Guarani de Palhoça - Caravaggio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWTW
- Santa Catarina FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
10.08.24	Santa Catarina - Camboriú	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Camboriú - Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
21.07.24	Santa Catarina - Grêmio Juventus	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Metropolitano - Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
08.07.24	Camboriú - Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
09.07.23	Caravaggio - Santa Catarina	0:0

Caravaggio - Santa Catarina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide