Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 20

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Cariñena		Atlético Monzón

	1	X	2
	8.8	4.55	1.29
	9.74	4.58	1.31	Watch
	10.8	4.5	1.27
	9	4.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.59 ↓ (9.78)	4.53 ↓ (4.7)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariñena
9.5%

Draw
20.1%

Atlético Monzón
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.4%

19.6%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

8.8%

18.4%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariñena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Atlético Monzón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monzón than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Monzón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cariñena - Atlético Monzón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Rekrouk M. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Fuertes A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, Barriendos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cariñena won 1.

Cariñena is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Monzón's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cariñena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Monzón is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cariñena won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cariñena won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Atletico Monzon	5	3	1	1	8:7	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cariñena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
15.02.26	Cariñena - Utrillas	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Tamarite - Cariñena	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Cariñena - Robres	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Calamocha - Cariñena	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Cariñena - Huesca B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWLL
- Atlético Monzón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
15.02.26	Atlético Monzón - Robres	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Monzón - Calamocha	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Huesca B - Atlético Monzón	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Cuarte - Atlético Monzón	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Caspe - Atlético Monzón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
21.09.25	Atlético Monzón - Cariñena	2:1
04.02.24	Atlético Monzón - Cariñena	2:1
17.09.23	Cariñena - Atlético Monzón	1:1
29.01.23	Atlético Monzón - Cariñena	0:0
02.10.22	Cariñena - Atlético Monzón	2:1
13.03.22	Atlético Monzón - Cariñena	2:0
07.11.21	Cariñena - Atlético Monzón	2:2

Cariñena - Atlético Monzón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide