Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 27

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	Cariñena		Barbastro

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.75	1.29
	9.13	4.78	1.26
	8.8	4.2	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.73 ↑ (5.73)	4.58 ↑ (3.95)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariñena
10.4%

Draw
19.8%

Barbastro
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

22.2%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

21.3%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariñena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Barbastro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barbastro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs)).

Cariñena is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barbastro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Barbastro is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cariñena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cariñena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cariñena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
19.03.23	Binéfar - Cariñena	3:1 ✺
12.03.23	Cariñena - Robres	3:3 ✺
05.03.23	Huesca B - Cariñena	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Cariñena - Ejea	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Caspe - Cariñena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLLT
- UD Barbastro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
19.03.23	Barbastro - Illueca	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Atlético Monzón - Barbastro	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Barbastro - Tamarite	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Almudévar - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Barbastro - Épila	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
27.11.22	Barbastro - Cariñena	3:1
27.02.22	Cariñena - Barbastro	1:0
24.10.21	Barbastro - Cariñena	0:2

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