Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Carina Gubin		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.6
	2.98	3.7	1.98
	2.23	3.62	2.67	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.95)	3.66 ↓ (3.78)	2.35 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carina Gubin
35.7%

Draw
25.2%

Lechia Zielona Góra
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

24.1%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

23.8%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carina Gubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Zielona Góra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carina Gubin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Zielona Góra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Staszkowian K. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Haraszkiewicz P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 2 - 1, Szmigiel M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carina Gubin won 2.

In recent matches, Carina Gubin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zielona Góra is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carina Gubin won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Carina Gubin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carina Gubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
06.09.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Carina Gubin	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Carina Gubin - Miedź Legnica 2	3:2 ✺
27.08.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Carina Gubin	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Carina Gubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Sparta Katowice - Carina Gubin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTLT
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
06.09.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Ślęza Wrocław	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Skra Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:5 ✺
23.08.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Stal Jasień - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.04.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin	2:0
23.03.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin	1:2
27.08.23	Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:2
27.05.23	Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra	3:1
29.10.22	Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin	2:0
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin	2:2
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.06.22	Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:0

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