Match Info

BRAZIL: CEARENSE 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Cariri		Pacatuba

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.85	3.9
	1.97	2.75	3.74
	1.97	2.98	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	3.87 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariri
45.6%

Draw
31.3%

Pacatuba
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

31.6%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

27.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Pacatuba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariri than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacatuba than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Tiaguinho ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Dalvan ⚽,
45+6', 3 - 0, Dagson (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 4 - 0, Natan ⚽,
89', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cearense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Cariri is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pacatuba is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pacatuba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cariri is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cariri FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense 2
17.03.24	Icasa - Cariri	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Tirol - Cariri	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Cariri - Maranguape	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Tiradentes - Cariri	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Cariri - Itapipoca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTT
- AD Pacatuba
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense 2
17.03.24	Pacatuba - Itapipoca	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Pacatuba - Icasa	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Pacatuba - Tirol	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Maranguape - Pacatuba	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Pacajus - Pacatuba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLTT

Cariri - Pacatuba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide