Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cariñena		Almudévar

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.93
	3.6	3.25	1.95
	3.66	3.05	1.99
	3.79	3.24	1.91
	3.6	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (5.09)	3.18 ↓ (3.6)	1.95 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariñena
24.8%

Draw
28.5%

Almudévar
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.8%

25.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

24.8%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariñena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cariñena's performance.

Almudévar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almudévar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cariñena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almudévar than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almudévar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Cariñena is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almudévar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Almudévar is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cariñena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cariñena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
04.02.24	Atlético Monzón - Cariñena	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Cariñena - Fuentes	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Cariñena - Utrillas	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Illueca - Cariñena	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Cariñena - Ejea	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLLTW
- AD Almudévar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
04.02.24	Almudévar - Cuarte	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Binéfar - Almudévar	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Almudévar - Calamocha	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Épila - Almudévar	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Almudévar - Caspe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
24.09.23	Almudévar - Cariñena	3:1
15.01.23	Almudévar - Cariñena	3:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.02.18	Almudévar - Cariñena	2:0

Cariñena - Almudévar

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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