Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Caronnese		Bra

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	2	3	3.5
	1.97	3.12	3.51
	1.8	3.4	3.75
	1.99	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.46)	3.21 ↑ (2.85)	3.55 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caronnese
46.5%

Draw
28.1%

Bra
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caronnese's performance.

Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caronnese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Caronnese - Bra Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caronnese will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bra will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caronnese won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Caronnese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Caronnese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Caronnese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
08.05.22	Sestri Levante - Caronnese	1:4 ✺
01.05.22	Caronnese - Ligorna	2:0 ✺
27.04.22	Imperia - Caronnese	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Caronnese - Varese	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
20.04.22	Caronnese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLL
- AC Bra
Italian Serie D - Group A
08.05.22	Bra - Casale	1:2 ✺
01.05.22	Vado - Bra	2:1 ✺
27.04.22	Bra - Ticino	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Unione Sanremo - Bra	1:1 ✺
14.04.22	Bra - Derthona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
23.01.22	Bra - Caronnese	0:0
21.02.21	Caronnese - Bra	2:0
03.10.20	Bra - Caronnese	1:0
10.11.19	Bra - Caronnese	1:1
13.01.18	Bra - Caronnese	1:1
19.03.17	Caronnese - Bra	0:1

Caronnese - Bra