Match Info

Date: 16 March 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Caruaru City		Vera Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.7	4.2
	1.62	3.85	3.85
	1.71	3.65	3.95
	1.73	3.57	3.92
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.73	3.78	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	4.04 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caruaru City
53.1%

Draw
24.6%

Vera Cruz
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

23.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caruaru City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Vera Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caruaru City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vera Cruz than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Caruaru City - Vera Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Caruaru City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vera Cruz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caruaru City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Caruaru City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caruaru City SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
09.03.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Caruaru City	1:0 ✺
03.03.22	Sete de Setembro - Caruaru City	0:3 ✺
23.02.22	Afogados da Ingazeira - Caruaru City	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Caruaru City - Retrô Brasil	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Caruaru City - Íbis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWW
- Vera Cruz FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
12.03.22	Vera Cruz - Salgueiro	1:2 ✺
05.03.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Vera Cruz	2:1 ✺
02.03.22	Vera Cruz - Íbis	1:1 ✺
22.02.22	Sete de Setembro - Vera Cruz	1:3 ✺
17.02.22	Vera Cruz - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWL

Caruaru City - Vera Cruz

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Caruaru City - Vera Cruz Predictions

Preview

Form

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