Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Casalarreina		Peña Balsamaiso

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.71
	3.7	4	1.73
	3.68	4.81	1.64	Watch
	4.06	4.06	1.74
	3.7	4	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (7.06)	4.15 ↓ (4.48)	1.71 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casalarreina
24.4%

Draw
22%

Peña Balsamaiso
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

20.3%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

19.6%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casalarreina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casalarreina's performance.

Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Balsamaiso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casalarreina than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casalarreina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Balsamaiso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Casalarreina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Casalarreina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Peña Balsamaiso is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Casalarreina have a series of guest games.

In this match Peña Balsamaiso is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casalarreina won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Casalarreina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casalarreina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
30.03.25	Berceo - Casalarreina	2:3 ✺
23.03.25	Oyonesa - Casalarreina	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Casalarreina	5:3 ✺
15.02.25	Casalarreina - Calahorra B	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Comillas - Casalarreina	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLLTL
- Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
30.03.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Varea	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Náxara - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Peña Balsamaiso	5:1 ✺
23.02.25	Comillas - Peña Balsamaiso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
23.11.24	Peña Balsamaiso - Casalarreina	1:1
01.05.24	Peña Balsamaiso - Casalarreina	3:4
07.01.24	Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso	1:1
29.01.23	Peña Balsamaiso - Casalarreina	3:0
24.09.22	Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso	0:0

Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide