Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cascina Valdera		Lornano Badesse

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.1	3.15	2.95
	2.09	3.06	2.89
	2.16	3.38	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.09)	3.16 ↑ (3.06)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cascina Valdera
41.8%

Draw
28.2%

Lornano Badesse
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

19.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cascina Valdera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Lornano Badesse have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cascina Valdera than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cascina Valdera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lornano Badesse than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lornano Badesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cascina Valdera - Lornano Badesse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 9).

Cascina Valdera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lornano Badesse is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cascina Valdera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cascina Valdera ASD
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.11.21	San Donato Tavarnelle - Cascina Valdera	3:1 ✺
07.11.21	Cascina Valdera - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Arezzo - Cascina Valdera	3:0 ✺
24.10.21	Cascina Valdera - Cannara	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	SanGiovanniValdarno - Cascina Valdera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLTW
- ASD Lornano Badesse
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.11.21	Lornano Badesse - UniPomezia	4:2 ✺
07.11.21	Lornano Badesse - Cannara	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Lornano Badesse	4:1 ✺
24.10.21	Lornano Badesse - Pianese	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Scandicci - Lornano Badesse	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLWT

Cascina Valdera - Lornano Badesse

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Cascina Valdera - Lornano Badesse Predictions

Preview

Form

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