Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	18:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Casertana		Altamura

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.60	5.00
	1.52	3.7	5.7	Watch
	1.53	4	6.41
	1.52	3.79	6.04	Watch
	1.5	3.95	6.3
	1.45	3.7	6.71	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.83)	3.78 ↑ (3.25)	5.97 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
60.4%

Draw
24.2%

Altamura
15.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.6%

28%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casertana's performance.

Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altamura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casertana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altamura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Casertana - Altamura Predictions

Users Predictions: Casertana will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (C) 4. Kontek I. 33. Rocchi G. 23. Martino P. 18. Oukhadda S. 7. Piovanello E. 27. Sandri M. 32. Di Tacchio F. 21. Vezzoni F. 9. Castelli D. 10. Manconi J.	32. Perucchini F. (G) 6. Pacia F. 31. Pirrello R. 19. Esposito M. 21. Mogentale T. 4. Dipinto N. (C) 20. Gudelevicius E. 16. Grande M. 37. Falasca M. 7. Rosafio M. 9. Malcore G.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 24. Belli F. 20. Bentivegna A. 17. Caporale A. 19. Colley M. 11. Favale G. 8. Girelli S. 99. Henin G. 12. Luca S. (G) 22. Magro F. (G) 5. Mehic D. 16. Pezzella S.	14. Bocic M. 77. Calusic M. 10. Curcio A. 99. De Gennaro A. (G) 1. Di Bartolo F. (G) 27. Dimola R. 2. Gagliardi L. 30. Nazzaro M. 3. Ovalle Santos A. 11. Simone G. 28. Tudor R. 5. Zazza M.
Coaches
Espinal V.	Memushaj L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Rocchi G. 🟨,
63', Piovanello E. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
63', Castelli D. ↓, Colley M. ↑,
64', Malcore G. ↓, Simone G. ↑,
65', Rosafio M. ↓, Bocic M. ↑,
74', Sandri M. ↓, Pezzella S. ↑,
75', Rocchi G. ↓, Belli F. ↑,
90+2', Martino P. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Colley M. ⚽, De Lucia V. (A),
90+5', Esposito M. ↓, Curcio A. ↑,
90+5', Gudelevicius E. ↓, Calusic M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Altamura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Altamura has had a series of home games.

In this match, Casertana is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Casertana	11	4	5	2	16:14	2	17
15	Altamura	11	3	3	5	9:16	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.26	Inter U23 - Casertana	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Casertana - Scafatese	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Savoia - Casertana	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Casertana - Barletta	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Casertana - Savoia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWTL
- Team Altamura
Italian Serie C Group C
11.09.26	Altamura - Bari	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Altamura - Savoia	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Altamura - Sambenedettese	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.26	Inter U23 - Altamura	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Altamura - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.01.26	Altamura - Casertana	0:2
25.08.25	Casertana - Altamura	3:1
12.03.25	Altamura - Casertana	2:0
31.10.24	Casertana - Altamura	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.02.22	Altamura - Casertana	3:1
03.10.21	Casertana - Altamura	1:1

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