The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casetas 14.8%
Draw 26.7%
Épila 58.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.7%
27.2%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.1%
26.4%
53.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casetas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casetas's form might have worsened.
Épila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Épila's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casetas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casetas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épila than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Casetas - Épila Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Alvarez Jorge ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 2, Gonzalvo H. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, Casetas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Épila is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Épila is considered a favorite.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.