The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casetas 17.6%
Draw 27.7%
Calamocha 54.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18%
27%
55%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.7%
26.6%
55.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casetas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Calamocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casetas than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (+1%)
Casetas - Calamocha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).
Casetas is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Calamocha is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Calamocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Calamocha is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Casetas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).
Including home match between the teams, Casetas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
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