Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 11

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Caspe		Fraga

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.72	3.35	4.6
	1.74	3.14	4.34
	1.74	3.33	4.67	Watch
	1.71	3.34	4.68
	1.72	3.35	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	4.52 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caspe
52.5%

Draw
27.4%

Fraga
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caspe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Fraga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caspe than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fraga than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Caspe - Fraga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Kun ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, San Agustin C. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Caspe is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caspe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Including matches at home between the teams Caspe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Caspe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
17.11.24	Caspe - La Almunia	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Ebro - Caspe	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Caspe - Cuarte	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Belchite - Caspe	0:0 ✺
13.10.24	Caspe - Épila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTTL
- UD Fraga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
17.11.24	Fraga - Ebro	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Cuarte - Fraga	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Fraga - Belchite	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Épila - Fraga	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Fraga - Tamarite	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
21.01.24	Caspe - Fraga	1:0

Caspe - Fraga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide