Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castelnuovo Vomano		Trastevere

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.05
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.2	2.16
	2.9	3.08	2.26
	2.87	3.1	2.25
	2.83	3.45	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.38)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	2.21 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelnuovo Vomano
31.4%

Draw
28%

Trastevere
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

19.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelnuovo Vomano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castelnuovo Vomano's form might have worsened.

Trastevere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trastevere's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castelnuovo Vomano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trastevere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Castelnuovo Vomano - Trastevere Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Castelnuovo Vomano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Trastevere have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Italian Serie D - Group F
07.11.21	Chieti - Castelnuovo Vomano	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
24.10.21	Matese - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Aurora Alto Casertano	3:1 ✺
10.10.21	Castelfidardo - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL
- Trastevere Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
07.11.21	Trastevere - Roma City	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Trastevere - Vis Artena	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
31.10.21	Trastevere - Aurora Alto Casertano	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Recanatese - Trastevere	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Trastevere - Montegiorgio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW

Castelnuovo Vomano - Trastevere

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Castelnuovo Vomano - Trastevere Predictions

Preview

Form

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