Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 3

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castro Daire		Estrela da Calheta

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Castro Daire
47.6%

Draw
25.5%

Estrela da Calheta
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

23.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro Daire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castro Daire's form might have worsened.

Estrela da Calheta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrela da Calheta's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Estrela da Calheta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Castro Daire for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Castro Daire
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Castro Daire - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.09.26	Beira-Mar - Castro Daire	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sousense - Castro Daire	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Castro Daire - Ovarense	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Castro Daire - Anadia	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLL
- Estrela da Calheta
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.09.26	Estrela da Calheta - Cinfães	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Estrela da Calheta - Vianense	1:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.09.26	Estrela da Calheta - Ovarense	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Machico - Estrela da Calheta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLT

Castro Daire - Estrela da Calheta