The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castrovillari 23.4%
Draw 26.1%
Locri 50.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
26.8%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
25.8%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrovillari's form might have worsened.
Locri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Locri's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrovillari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Locri than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Locri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
Castrovillari has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Locri is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Locri will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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