Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Caudal Deportivo		Llanera

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.1	2.58
	2.4	3.14	2.86
	4.85	2.78	1.94	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.37	3.05	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.05)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	2.58 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caudal Deportivo
32.5%

Draw
31.1%

Llanera
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27.2%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Llanera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llanera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caudal Deportivo - Llanera Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
57', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 1.

Caudal Deportivo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Llanera is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Caudal Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Llanera could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Caudal Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Caudal Deportivo	5	3	1	1	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
01.03.26	Real Titánico - Caudal Deportivo	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Caudal Deportivo - Llanes	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sporting de Gijón B - Caudal Deportivo	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Caudal Deportivo - LEntregu	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Colunga - Caudal Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- UD Llanera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
01.03.26	Llanera - Club Siero	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Navarro - Llanera	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Llanera - Gijón Industrial	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Praviano - Llanera	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Llanera - Lenense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Llanera - Caudal Deportivo	2:0
18.02.24	Llanera - Caudal Deportivo	3:0
01.10.23	Caudal Deportivo - Llanera	0:2
05.02.23	Llanera - Caudal Deportivo	1:0
01.10.22	Caudal Deportivo - Llanera	3:0
21.03.21	Caudal Deportivo - Llanera	0:1
12.01.20	Caudal Deportivo - Llanera	2:1

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