Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadium East (Kingston)


	Cavalier		Montego Bay United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.2	2	Watch
	3.38	3.3	2.03
	3.44	3.35	2.08	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.31	3.38	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.14)	3.27 ↑ (3.16)	2.02 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavalier
27.3%

Draw
27.8%

Montego Bay United
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.5%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavalier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Montego Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalier than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montego Bay United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Cavalier - Montego Bay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalier won 1.

Cavalier has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Montego Bay United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Montego Bay United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Montego Bay United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cavalier won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cavalier won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Montego Bay	4	3	1	0	4:0	4	10
6	Cavalier	3	2	1	0	6:4	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cavalier FC
Jamaica National Premier League
13.05.26	Waterhouse - Cavalier	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Cavalier - Waterhouse	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Cavalier - Harbour View	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Cavalier - Racing United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWWW
- Montego Bay United
Jamaica National Premier League
06.05.26	Mount Pleasant - Montego Bay United	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Montego Bay United - Treasure Beach	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Harbour View - Montego Bay United	4:3 ✺
22.04.26	Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Montego Bay United - Racing United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
29.03.26	Montego Bay United - Cavalier	3:1
15.02.26	Montego Bay United - Cavalier	1:0
08.12.25	Cavalier - Montego Bay United	3:0
27.04.25	Montego Bay United - Cavalier	1:0
13.02.25	Cavalier - Montego Bay United	1:1
18.12.24	Montego Bay United - Cavalier	1:1
28.01.24	Cavalier - Montego Bay United	1:0

Cavalier - Montego Bay United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide