Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Cavese		Nuova Florida

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.84	9.52
	1.24	4.84	9.52
	1.2	5.35	13.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.75)	5.01 ↑ (3.25)	10.78 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
73.6%

Draw
18%

Nuova Florida
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

25.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cavese's performance.

Nuova Florida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuova Florida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cavese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Florida than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Florida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', van Rijswijk K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', Troest M. ⚽,
60', Negro L. ⚽,
63', Chang-Sang J. ⚽,
84', Di Piazza M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )).

Cavese in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nuova Florida has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cavese is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cavese to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group G
10.03.24	Nocerina - Cavese	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cavese - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Trastevere - Cavese	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Cavese - Gladiator	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Atletico Uri - Cavese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWW
- Team Nuova Florida
Italian Serie D - Group G
10.03.24	Nuova Florida - Cynthialbalonga	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Nuova Florida	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Ostia Mare - Nuova Florida	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Nuova Florida - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
10.02.24	Nuova Florida - Imolese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLL

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