Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Cayón		Barreda Balompié

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.32	4.9	7.2
	1.26	5.11	8.37
	1.29	4.99	8.79
	1.4	5.14	6.22
	1.32	4.9	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.62)	4.94 ↑ (3.75)	7.46 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
69.2%

Draw
18.5%

Barreda Balompié
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cayón's performance.

Barreda Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barreda Balompié might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cayón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreda Balompié than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barreda Balompié could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Turrado Garrido J. ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, Martinez S. ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, Cagigas C. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 13).

Cayón is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Barreda is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barreda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cayón is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cayón to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cayón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cayón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 3.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
02.02.25	Torina - Cayón	1:4 ✺
26.01.25	Cayón - Sámano	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Gama - Cayón	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Naval Reinosa - Cayón	0:3 ✺
22.12.24	Cayón - Atlético Mineros Reocín	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW
- Barreda Balompié
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
01.02.25	Barreda Balompié - Bezana	4:2 ✺
25.01.25	Revilla - Barreda Balompié	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Barreda Balompié - Colindres	2:2 ✺
11.01.25	Barreda Balompié - Castro	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Siete Villas - Barreda Balompié	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
28.09.24	Barreda Balompié - Cayón	2:1
20.10.19	Cayón - Barreda Balompié	6:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
19.11.17	Cayón - Barreda Balompié	1:0

Cayón - Barreda Balompié: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide