Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Cayón		Bezana

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.05
	1.29	5.44	8.30	Watch
	1.88	3.44	4.07
	1.69	3.55	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.8)	4.01 ↑ (3.5)	5.23 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
58%

Draw
23.8%

Bezana
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cayón's performance.

Bezana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bezana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cayón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bezana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cayón - Bezana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ortiz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cayón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cayón is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cayón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.10.25	Torina - Cayón	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Cayón - Barquereño	5:0 ✺
27.09.25	Cayón - Castro	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Albericia - Cayón	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Cayón - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWTLL
- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
04.10.25	Bezana - Vimenor	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tropezón - Bezana	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Bezana - Cartes	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Bezana	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bezana - Revilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.04.25	Cayón - Bezana	3:2
06.12.24	Bezana - Cayón	1:0
12.12.20	Bezana - Cayón	0:2
23.02.19	Bezana - Cayón	1:4
07.10.18	Cayón - Bezana	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
30.03.18	Cayón - Bezana	2:0

Cayón - Bezana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide