Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 17

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadionul Ceahlăul (Piatra Neamţ)


	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ		FC Bacău

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.05	2.32
	3	3.15	2.27
	2.92	3.21	2.31	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.38
	2.9	3.02	2.35
	2.83	3.33	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.11 ↓ (3.36)	2.32 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
31.5%

Draw
29.3%

FC Bacău
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

28.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ's form might have worsened.

FC Bacău has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Bacău's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ than the current prediction. (+22%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Bacău than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Bacău, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - FC Bacău Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ceahlăul will win (votes: 1 - 20%). FC Bacău will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Bacău (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - FC Bacău (1.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Bacău (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ailenei I. (G) 14. Anton A. 25. Asibey E. 8. Copot Barb C. (C) 11. Cretu G. 18. Davordzie C. 28. Filip R. 22. Munteanu R. 4. Pintea C. 24. Sandru M. 34. Telcean T.	1. Anton L. (G) 11. Aftanache A. 13. Bordea M. 29. Chirila I. (C) 21. Ciobanu R. 10. Cirstean G. 14. Coaja A. 6. Forizs V. 23. Juric M. 9. Luncasu D. 22. Pavel A.
Substitutes
67. Barna A. (G) 94. Buterchi R. 20. Granja R. 1. Grecu L. (G) . Mahu O. 80. Matis R. 6. Moussinga P. 19. Patrichi I. 92. Stroe R.	. Agapi L. 25. Blaj F. . Gumenco M. (G) . Ndoci C. 18. Oasenegre C. 17. Ursu M. 15. Voda A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Pavel A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
62', 0 - 2, Aftanache A. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
66', 0 - 3, Pavel A. ⚽,
70', 0 - 4, Ciobanu R. ⚽,
80', 0 - 5, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

In recent matches, Ceahlăul has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

FC Bacău is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ceahlăul will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ceahlăul won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Romanian Division 2
07.12.25	Metalul Buzău - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Steaua București - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - Muscelul Câmpulung Elite	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Dumbrăviţa - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - CSM Satu Mare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTW
- FC Bacău
Romanian Division 2
06.12.25	FC Bacău - Steaua București	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Muscelul Câmpulung Elite - FC Bacău	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	FC Bacău - Dumbrăviţa	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	CSM Satu Mare - FC Bacău	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	FC Bacău - Viitorul Șelimbăr	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Cup
14.08.25	FC Bacău - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	0:2
14.08.24	FC Bacău - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	0:1

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