Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)


	Ceará		Real Ariquemes

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.1	5
	1.6	4	4.05
	1.46	4.2	5.4
	1.44	4.46	4.75
	1.55	4.05	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (2.21)	4.16 ↑ (3.43)	4.81 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
59.7%

Draw
21.6%

Real Ariquemes
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

29.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceará's performance.

Real Ariquemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Ariquemes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ariquemes than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Ariquemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Ceará - Real Ariquemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Real Ariquemes will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Ceará is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Ariquemes is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Real Ariquemes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ceará will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
13.08.22	Ceará - Itacoatiara	4:1 ✺
06.08.22	Itacoatiara - Ceará	2:4
23.07.22	Ceará - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Fortaleza - Ceará	2:2 ✺
10.07.22	Ceará - Alagoana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWTTW
- Real Ariquemes Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
06.08.22	Fortaleza - Real Ariquemes	0:1 ✺
23.07.22	Real Ariquemes - Itacoatiara	2:1 ✺
16.07.22	CEFAMA - Real Ariquemes	0:4 ✺
10.07.22	Real Ariquemes - Iranduba da Amazônia	1:0 ✺
02.07.22	Iranduba da Amazônia - Real Ariquemes	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Ceará - Real Ariquemes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide