Match Info

Primera C - Round 7

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Centro Español		Club Luján

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	2.75	2.4
	2.45	2.9	2.9	Watch
	2.44	2.86	3.01
	2.53	2.75	3.04	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.15
	2.62	2.75	3.03
	2.45	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.26)	2.87 ↓ (3.09)	2.78 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Centro Español
34.6%

Draw
32.1%

Club Luján
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.4%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Centro Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Centro Español's performance.

Club Luján has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club Luján might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Centro Español than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Centro Español that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Luján could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Centro Español - Club Luján Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Club Luján (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Centro Español (1.30) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Centro Español (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Centro Español (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Club Luján (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Gimenez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 1 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Molina D. (Pen),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )).

Centro Español is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Club Luján is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Centro Español could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Club Luján will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Centro Español won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Centro Español won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Centro Español
Argentinian Primera C
14.04.25	Argentino de Rosario - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
07.04.25	Centro Español - Deportivo Camioneros	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Deportivo Yupanqui - Centro Español	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Centro Español - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:1 ✺
17.03.25	Deportivo Paraguayo - Centro Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLT
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
13.04.25	Club Luján - General Lamadrid	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Estrella del Sur - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Club Luján - Sportivo Barracas	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Central Ballester - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Club Luján - Victoriano Arenas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
05.11.24	Centro Español - Club Luján	2:1
02.06.24	Club Luján - Centro Español	2:1

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