Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cerdanyola del Vallès		Montañesa

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.95	2.60
	2.90	2.95	2.15
	2.58	3.00	2.70
	2.95	3.07	2.37	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.65
	2.47	3.53	2.54
	2.45	3.00	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.9)	3.06 ↑ (2.95)	2.52 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerdanyola del Vallès
34.5%

Draw
29.6%

Montañesa
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

29.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerdanyola del Vallès has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerdanyola del Vallès than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerdanyola del Vallès that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montañesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cerdanyola del Vallès - Montañesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th and 1st in the Promotion).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Cerdanyola has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerdanyola against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montanesa	8	4	1	3	11:7	4	13
7	Cerdanyola	8	3	3	2	8:8	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Montañesa - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 40.6%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerdanyola del Vallès FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.10.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Martinenc	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Mollerussa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	LHospitalet - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - LEscala	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Cornellà - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTWL
- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.10.26	Montañesa - LEscala	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Martinenc - Montañesa	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	CE Europa B - Montañesa	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Montañesa - Grama	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Badalona - Montañesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.01.26	Montañesa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1
07.09.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Montañesa	0:1
04.05.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Montañesa	3:1
22.12.24	Montañesa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:0

Cerdanyola del Vallès - Montañesa