Match Info
WE League Women - Round 22Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Japan | DAZN Japan |
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Cerezo Osaka |
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Nagano Parceiro |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.3 |
4.75 |
7.7 |
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 |
1.32 |
4.77 |
8.41 |
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1.33 |
4.58 |
8.37 |
 Watch |
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1.3 |
4.2 |
8 |
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1.28 |
4.85 |
8.75 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↑
(1.3) |
4.63 ↓
(4.7) |
8.25 ↓
(9.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cerezo Osaka
69.4% | Draw
19.6% | Nagano Parceiro
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Nagano Parceiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-29.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerezo Osaka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nagano Parceiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Cerezo Osaka - Nagano Parceiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Iwashita K. ⚽, Takahashi H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 81', 1 - 1, Wada A. ⚽, Momono M. (A),
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.Cerezo Osaka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Nagano Parceiro has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Recently, Cerezo Osaka has had a series of away games. In this match, Cerezo Osaka is the undeniable favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.8:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | C-Osaka W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
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| 12 | Parceiro Nagano W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Japan WE League Women | | | 31.08.25 | Nagano Parceiro - Cerezo Osaka | 2:1 | | 10.05.25 | Nagano Parceiro - Cerezo Osaka | 2:1 | | 16.11.24 | Cerezo Osaka - Nagano Parceiro | 1:3 | | 12.05.24 | Nagano Parceiro - Cerezo Osaka | 1:2 | | 23.11.23 | Cerezo Osaka - Nagano Parceiro | 0:1 | | Japan Nadeshiko League Women | | | 15.11.19 | Nagano Parceiro - Cerezo Osaka | 1:1 | | 09.11.19 | Cerezo Osaka - Nagano Parceiro | 0:0 |
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