Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Ceuta B		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.05	2.15
	3.22	3.2	2.17
	3.11	3.04	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.97)	3.1 ↓ (3.12)	2.18 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta B
28.9%

Draw
29.4%

Ciudad de Lucena
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.2%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.6%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Ceuta B - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
89', 1 - 0, ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceuta B won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ciudad de Lucena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ciudad de Lucena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ceuta B won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceuta B won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Ciudad de Lucena - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceuta B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
04.10.25	Bollullos - Ceuta B	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ceuta B - Sevilla C	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Ceuta B - Atlético Onubense	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Pozoblanco - Ceuta B	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.25	Atlético Malagueño - Ceuta B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTLL
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Córdoba B	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Chiclana - Ciudad de Lucena	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Conil	4:1 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético Central - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Utrera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.11.24	Ceuta B - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0
26.05.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	0:4
19.05.24	Ceuta B - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1
23.12.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	1:0
23.04.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	1:0
17.12.22	Ceuta B - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1
06.02.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	3:2

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