Match Info

MOROCCO: Botola Pro - Round 7

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade El Bachir (Mohammedia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	SNRT Live


	Chabab Mohammedia		Maghreb Fez

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.1	1.67
	4.8	3.1	1.7
	5	3.25	1.75	Watch
	5.44	3.16	1.76
	4.51	3.16	1.82	Watch
	5.11	3.28	1.72	Watch
	5	3.25	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↑ (3.96)	3.19 ↑ (3.07)	1.74 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chabab Mohammedia
18.5%

Draw
28.8%

Maghreb Fez
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

29.7%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

28.4%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chabab Mohammedia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Maghreb Fez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maghreb Fez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chabab Mohammedia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maghreb Fez than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Chabab Mohammedia - Maghreb Fez Predictions

Users Predictions: Maghreb Fez will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Abdelwadie M. 4. Drouich Z. 23. El Houari A. 5. El Jadidi M. 29. Ennakhli A. (C) 16. Fatihi Z. 13. Foulat A. 3. Gari M. 18. Malik M. 11. Rhailouf A. 25. Traore I.	16. Chihab S. (G) 11. Anouar Y. 35. Asstati T. 25. Dieye M. 32. El Jabali D. 21. El Janati H. (C) 22. Guei S. 3. Hamadi Z. 8. Harmach A. 4. Khorsa S. 29. Seakanyeng K.
Substitutes
40. Al-Zein Y. 30. Dabdouby M. 77. Dalouzi Y. 38. El Ghaz E. M. 31. El Haddouni M. 90. Errahmany O. (G) 32. Houmaimssa H. 14. Marmouch R. 20. Sani W.	19. Aina H. 27. Brija E. 5. Chabani A. 7. El Badoui M. 1. El Ichaoui H. (G) 2. Hamza A. 18. Harache I. 15. Mhannaoui R. 55. Moulhami A.
Coaches
Dardouri M.	Arena G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', El Houari A. 🟨,
34', Ennakhli A. 🟨,
37', Seakanyeng K. 🟨,
45+1', Guei S. 🟨,
45+4', Hamadi Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', El Janati H. ↓, Aina H. ↑,
46', Hamadi Z. ↓, Mhannaoui R. ↑,
46', Anouar Y. ↓, Harache I. ↑,
46', Dieye M. ↓, El Badoui M. ↑,
46', Ennakhli A. ↓, Dalouzi Y. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Seakanyeng K. ⚽,
75', Foulat A. 🟨,
77', Gari M. ↓, El Ghaz E. M. ↑,
77', Fatihi Z. ↓, Dabdouby M. ↑,
84', Asstati T. ↓, Brija E. ↑,
90+3', Harache I. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Botola 2 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chabab Mohammedia won 1.

Chabab Mohammedia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Maghreb Fez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maghreb Fez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maghreb Fez is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chabab Mohammedia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Chabab Mohammedia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chabab Mohammedia
Moroccan Botola
19.10.24	Wydad Casablanca - Chabab Mohammedia	3:2 ✺
Moroccan Excellence Cup
13.10.24	USM Oujda - Chabab Mohammedia	1:0 ✺
09.10.24	Chabab Mohammedia - Olympic Safi	0:2 ✺
Moroccan Botola
04.10.24	Chabab Mohammedia - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Renaissance Zemamra - Chabab Mohammedia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL
- Maghreb Fez
Moroccan Botola
19.10.24	Maghreb Fez - Difaa El Jadida	1:0 ✺
Moroccan Excellence Cup
09.10.24	Maghreb Fez - Berkane	1:3 ✺
Moroccan Botola
05.10.24	CODM de Meknès - Maghreb Fez	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Maghreb Fez - Hassania Agadir	1:0 ✺
20.09.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Maghreb Fez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
01.06.24	Chabab Mohammedia - Maghreb Fez	0:2
03.01.24	Maghreb Fez - Chabab Mohammedia	2:1
14.06.23	Chabab Mohammedia - Maghreb Fez	3:0
15.01.23	Maghreb Fez - Chabab Mohammedia	1:0
15.05.22	Chabab Mohammedia - Maghreb Fez	1:3
03.11.21	Maghreb Fez - Chabab Mohammedia	1:1
14.07.21	Chabab Mohammedia - Maghreb Fez	1:1

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