Match Info

Botola 2 - Round 21

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade El Bachir (Mohammedia)


	Chabab Mohammedia		Moghreb Tétouan

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.68	2.58
	2.88	2.64	2.6
	1.39	3.90	8.94	Watch
	2.88	2.5	2.63
	2.85	2.66	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.7)	2.88 ↑ (2.8)	3.87 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chabab Mohammedia
39%

Draw
35%

Moghreb Tétouan
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

32.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

34%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chabab Mohammedia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chabab Mohammedia's performance.

Moghreb Tétouan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moghreb Tétouan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chabab Mohammedia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moghreb Tétouan than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moghreb Tétouan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chabab Mohammedia - Moghreb Tétouan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Botola Pro).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chabab Mohammedia won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chabab Mohammedia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chabab Mohammedia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Chabab Mohammedia	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chabab Mohammedia
Moroccan Botola 2
29.03.26	Racing de Casablanca - Chabab Mohammedia	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Chabab Mohammedia - Widad Fez	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Chabab Benguérir - Chabab Mohammedia	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Chabab Mohammedia - USM Oujda	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Amal Tiznit - Chabab Mohammedia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTWT
- Moghreb Tétouan
Moroccan Botola 2
28.03.26	Moghreb Tétouan - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mouloudia Club dOujda - Moghreb Tétouan	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Moghreb Tétouan - Widad Témara	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Chabab Massira - Moghreb Tétouan	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Moghreb Tétouan - Boujaad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
27.02.25	Chabab Mohammedia - Moghreb Tétouan	0:2
25.10.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Chabab Mohammedia	3:0
18.02.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Chabab Mohammedia	1:0
23.09.23	Chabab Mohammedia - Moghreb Tétouan	0:1
09.04.23	Moghreb Tétouan - Chabab Mohammedia	1:0
30.10.22	Chabab Mohammedia - Moghreb Tétouan	4:3
12.05.21	Chabab Mohammedia - Moghreb Tétouan	0:0

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