The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chadormalou Ardakan 34.2%
Draw 30.4%
Shams Azar Qazvin 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
32.4%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
31.3%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chadormalou Ardakan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chadormalou Ardakan's performance.
Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shams Azar Qazvin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chadormalou Ardakan than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chadormalou Ardakan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shams Azar Qazvin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Edson Mardden (G) 82. Kalbasi A. 5. Sadeghian S. 3. Arta A. 24. Hosseini S. 78. Khosravi M. 76. Dehghan R. 13. Mahmoudabadi R. 10. Torres D. 77. Mirzaei R. 11. Renny
49. Zarei A. (G) 23. Hosseini S. M. 19. Karami A. 4. Rezaei M. 30. Taher A. 71. Moazemitabar S. 10. Mohkamkar A. 17. Aghamohammadi M. 48. Sourgi M. 7. Mohammadi R. 11. Mamizadeh M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Mohkamkar A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rezaei M. ↓, Jelokhani Niaraki A. ↑,
46', Aghamohammadi M. ↓, Mansouri M. ↑,
46', Kalbasi A. ↓, Mohammadfar S. ↑,
61', Hosseini S. ↓, Kamali A. ↑,
61', Dehghan R. ↓, Mashhadi S. ↑,
70', Arta A. ↓, Gholami A. ↑,
74', Mirzaei R. ↓, Tabatabaei M. ↑,
78', Mahmoudabadi R. 🟨,
80', Sourgi M. 🟨,
81', Sourgi M. ↓, Nasiri A. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Renny ⚽, Mahmoudabadi R. (A),
86', Tabatabaei M. 🟨,
87', Mohkamkar A. ↓, Zand A. ↑,
87', Taher A. ↓, Chegini A. A. ↑,
87', Torres D. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chadormalou won 0.
Chadormalou is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Shams Azar Qazvin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Shams Azar Qazvin might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chadormalou won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Chadormalou won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).