Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 28

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Chai Nat Provincial Stadium (Chai Nat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Chainat		Chanthaburi

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.2	3.3
	1.96	3.2	3.35
	2.04	3.26	3.39	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.01	3.16	3.48
	1.85	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.79)	3.19 ↓ (3.49)	3.43 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chainat
45.4%

Draw
28.3%

Chanthaburi
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24.8%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chainat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chainat's form might have worsened.

Chanthaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chainat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chanthaburi than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Chainat - Chanthaburi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Amarildo (Penalty Awarded),
21', 1 - 1, Abeledo I. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Abeledo I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 3, Abeledo I. ⚽,
76', 1 - 4, Abeledo I. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chainat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chainat is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chainat won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chainat won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 4:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Chainat	4	2	1	1	5:5	0	7
12	Chanthaburi	4	1	1	2	5:5	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chainat FC
Thai League 2
28.02.26	Sisaket United - Chainat	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Bangkok FC - Chainat	1:1 ✺
19.02.26	Chainat - Mahasarakham	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Phrae United - Chainat	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Chainat - Chiangmai United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLLW
- Chanthaburi FC
Thai League 2
01.03.26	Chanthaburi - Phrae United	2:3 ✺
22.02.26	Kasetsart - Chanthaburi	0:0 ✺
17.02.26	Chanthaburi - Chiangmai United	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Khonkaen United - Chanthaburi	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Chanthaburi - Mahasarakham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
09.11.25	Chanthaburi - Chainat	1:2
19.04.25	Chainat - Chanthaburi	5:2
21.12.24	Chanthaburi - Chainat	1:0
23.02.24	Chanthaburi - Chainat	1:0
29.10.23	Chainat - Chanthaburi	3:2

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