Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Chai Nat Provincial Stadium (Chai Nat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Chainat		Nakhon Pathom United

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.45	Watch
	1.74	3.32	4.61	Watch
	1.8	2.9	4.33
	1.75	3.22	4.55
	1.7	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.6)	3.19 ↓ (3.5)	4.29 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chainat
50.6%

Draw
28.3%

Nakhon Pathom United
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

24.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chainat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chainat's form might have worsened.

Nakhon Pathom United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chainat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Chainat - Nakhon Pathom United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chainat (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Amarildo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 🟥,
86', 1 - 1, Douglas Tardin ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chainat won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Nakhon Pathom United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chainat is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chainat won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chainat won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Chainat	4	2	1	1	5:5	0	7
13	Nakhon Pathom	4	0	4	0	3:3	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chainat FC
Thai League 2
10.01.26	Khonkaen United - Chainat	2:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.12.25	Chainat - Thai Port	0:5 ✺
Thai League 2
13.12.25	Chainat - Trat	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Chainat - Songkhla	4:3 ✺
06.12.25	Police Tero - Chainat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL
- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai FA Cup
14.01.26	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Pathom United	2:0 ✺
Thai League 2
10.01.26	Nakhon Pathom United - Sisaket United	0:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
27.12.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Uthai Thani	0:2 ✺
Thai FA Cup
20.12.25	Bankhai United - Nakhon Pathom United	1:3 ET ✺
Thai League 2
14.12.25	Bangkok FC - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
27.08.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Chainat	0:1
19.03.23	Chainat - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0
13.11.22	Nakhon Pathom United - Chainat	2:1
25.03.22	Chainat - Nakhon Pathom United	3:0
13.11.21	Nakhon Pathom United - Chainat	0:1
10.04.21	Nakhon Pathom United - Chainat	2:0
04.04.21	Chainat - Nakhon Pathom United	1:2

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