Match Info

BELGIUM: Super League Women - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Charleroi		Mechelen

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.06	3.36	3.32
	2.04	3.41	3.31
	2.35	3.17	2.94
	2.34	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.36)	3.21 ↑ (3.04)	3.03 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi
41.3%

Draw
28.5%

Mechelen
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Mechelen aligns with the current prediction.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Baudewijns D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Demoulin S. L. ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, Bouharat S. ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, Bernard M. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Charleroi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi Women
Belgian Super League Women
19.04.24	Charleroi - Zulte Waregem	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Mechelen - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
22.03.24	Charleroi - White Star Woluwe	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Anderlecht - Charleroi	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWWL
- KV Mechelen Women
Belgian Super League Women
19.04.24	White Star Woluwe - Mechelen	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Mechelen - White Star Woluwe	4:0 ✺
30.03.24	Mechelen - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Zulte Waregem - Mechelen	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	White Star Woluwe - Mechelen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Super League Women
30.03.24	Mechelen - Charleroi	0:1
02.02.24	Charleroi - Mechelen	3:2
03.11.23	Mechelen - Charleroi	4:2
13.05.23	Mechelen - Charleroi	2:0
31.03.23	Charleroi - Mechelen	0:3
17.12.22	Mechelen - Charleroi	1:1
13.08.22	Charleroi - Mechelen	0:1

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