Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Charleroi B		Cappellen

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	6.75
				Watch
	1.38	4.5	7.6
	1.38	4.49	7.56
	1.35	4.45	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.56)	4.44 ↑ (3.86)	7.39 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi B
67%

Draw
20.6%

Cappellen
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charleroi B's performance.

Cappellen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi B than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cappellen than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Charleroi B - Cappellen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, ⚽,
70', 4 - 0, ⚽,
89', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 16).

Charleroi B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Cappellen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Charleroi B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Charleroi B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Charleroi B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi B
Belgian National Division 1
16.03.24	Excelsior Virton - Charleroi B	0:1 ✺
13.03.24	Gent B - Charleroi B	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	Charleroi B - Tienen	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Charleroi B	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Charleroi B - Hoogstraten	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTTTW
- Royal Cappellen FC
Belgian National Division 1
20.03.24	Leuven B - Cappellen	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Cappellen - Namur	3:2 ✺
10.03.24	Cappellen - RAAL La Louvière	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Dessel Sport - Cappellen	8:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cappellen - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
29.10.23	Cappellen - Charleroi B	0:3

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