Match Info

MLS Next Pro - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Finley Stadium (Chattanooga, TN) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	17:00	MLS Next Pro
International	21:00	OneFootball TV


	Chattanooga		CT United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.04	3.60	2.88
	2.05	3.67	3.15
	2.07	3.75	3.13	Watch
	2	3.4	3.05
	1.97	3.64	3.06	Watch
	2.06	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	3.05 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga
44.9%

Draw
25.2%

CT United
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

24.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.1%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

CT United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CT United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Chattanooga - CT United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jakupovic E. (G) 2. Tcheuyap Y. 5. Sar-Sar F. 14. Koehler N. 13. Sorenson A. 18. Husakiwsky L. 47. Jones I. 3. Robertson T. 9. Barker D. 23. Krehl A. 10. Mangarov D.	23. Rankenburg G. (G) 21. Van Hees R. 20. Malou J. 12. Kamrath L. 16. Che N. 13. Monis A. (C) 70. Destin B. 11. Gomez E. 7. Tanyi B. 8. Sserwadda S. 14. Lacy D.
Substitutes
21. Amoateng F. 51. Barrueta M. (G) 90. Cohen Y. 7. Garcia A. 4. Hanchard M. 6. Louis S. 33. McGrath A. 11. Mohand A. 17. Ortiz D.	17. Agostoni W. 22. Applewhaite A. 24. D’Ippolito D. 57. Hyte D. 31. Mora-Arias R. 18. Petrie S. 77. Ping J. 1. Ramos A. (G) 15. Stephenson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Jones I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', Jones I. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
60', Sserwadda S. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Robertson T. ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, Tanyi B. ⚽, Sserwadda S. (A),
70', 2 - 1, Krehl A. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Che N. ↓, Stephenson J. ↑,
72', Monis A. ↓, Mora-Arias R. ↑,
72', Gomez E. ↓, D’Ippolito D. ↑,
80', Mangarov D. ↓, Louis S. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Louis S. ⚽, Krehl A. (A),
83', Sserwadda S. ↓, Hyte D. ↑,
85', Krehl A. ↓, Cohen Y. ↑,
85', Robertson T. ↓, McGrath A. ↑,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - MLS Next Pro Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - MLS Next Pro Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

Chattanooga is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

CT United has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Chattanooga may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chattanooga holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Chattanooga has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Chattanooga against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Chattanooga - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.96%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga FC
MLS Next Pro
18.10.26	Chattanooga - New York City II	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Chicago Fire II - Chattanooga	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Chattanooga - Atlanta United II	4:1 ✺
09.09.26	Huntsville City - Chattanooga	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Chattanooga - Carolina Core	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW
- CT United FC
MLS Next Pro
16.10.26	Atlanta United II - CT United	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	CT United - Inter Miami II	7:2 ✺
13.09.26	New York City II - CT United	1:0 ✺
08.09.26	Atlanta United II - CT United	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	CT United - New York Red Bulls 2	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
08.03.26	Chattanooga - CT United	4:2

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