Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Round 17

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Chaves U19		Famalicão U19

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.05	1.55
	5.39	4	1.5
	4.9	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↓ (6)	4.02 ↓ (4.2)	1.53 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves U19
18.1%

Draw
22.6%

Famalicão U19
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

21.7%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

20.8%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Famalicão U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves U19 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão U19 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Famalicão U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chaves U19 - Famalicão U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves U19 won 1.

Chaves U19 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Famalicão U19's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chaves U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Famalicão U19 is the team to beat.

We predict that Famalicão U19 will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chaves U19 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaves U19 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chaves U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
01.11.25	Gil Vicente U19 - Chaves U19	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Chaves U19	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chaves U19 - Vizela U19	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Chaves U19 - Braga U19	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Famalicão U19 - Chaves U19	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Famalicão U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
15.11.25	Moreirense U19 - Famalicão U19	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Famalicão U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Famalicão U19 - Vizela U19	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Braga U19 - Famalicão U19	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Famalicão U19 - Gil Vicente U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
27.09.25	Famalicão U19 - Chaves U19	4:1
26.04.25	Famalicão U19 - Chaves U19	2:0
01.03.25	Chaves U19 - Famalicão U19	3:3
05.01.25	Chaves U19 - Famalicão U19	0:5
28.09.24	Famalicão U19 - Chaves U19	0:1
16.12.23	Chaves U19 - Famalicão U19	0:0
23.09.23	Famalicão U19 - Chaves U19	2:0

Chaves U19 - Famalicão U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide