Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Chemie Leipzig		Viktoria 1889 Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.4	3.3
	2.09	3.35	3.48
	2.03	3.41	3.31	Watch
	2.02	3.28	3.35
	2.06	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.21)	3.37 ↑ (3.29)	3.35 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemie Leipzig
45%

Draw
27.4%

Viktoria 1889 Berlin
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemie Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Viktoria 1889 Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chemie Leipzig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria 1889 Berlin than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Chemie Leipzig - Viktoria 1889 Berlin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Ratifo S. ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, Mader J. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Kaymaz C. ⚽,
87', 4 - 0, Mauer T. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chemie Leipzig won 2.

Chemie Leipzig is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Viktoria 1889 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chemie Leipzig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chemie Leipzig will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Chemie Leipzig won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Chemie Leipzig won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 0.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemie Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
13.04.25	Eilenburg - Chemie Leipzig	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Chemie Leipzig - Meuselwitz	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Chemie Leipzig - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	Altglienicke - Chemie Leipzig	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Greifswald - Chemie Leipzig	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLLT
- Viktoria 1889 Berlin
German Regionalliga Nordost
13.04.25	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Meuselwitz	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Babelsberg - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	3:1 ✺
01.04.25	Luckenwalde - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Carl Zeiss Jena	4:2 ✺
22.03.25	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Plauen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
26.10.24	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Chemie Leipzig	1:0
06.03.24	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Chemie Leipzig	1:0
06.08.23	Chemie Leipzig - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:0
14.04.23	Chemie Leipzig - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:1
29.10.22	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Chemie Leipzig	0:2
26.09.20	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Chemie Leipzig	3:2
13.12.19	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Chemie Leipzig	1:0

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