Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	MDR Fernsehen
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chemie Leipzig		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.25	2.18
	3.15	3.40	2.22
	2.94	3.38	2.22
	2.95	3.35	2.19
	3.15	3.47	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.7)	3.37 ↑ (3.23)	2.19 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemie Leipzig
30.4%

Draw
27.4%

Zwickau
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

27.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemie Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Besong P. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Harant P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
79', 1 - 2, Kuhn P. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Kuhn P. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemie Leipzig won 0.

Chemie Leipzig has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zwickau is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chemie Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chemie Leipzig won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chemie Leipzig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.8:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Zwickau	11	4	3	4	13:17	-4	15
14	Chemie Leipzig	11	2	3	6	12:17	-5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemie Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
28.08.26	Altglienicke - Chemie Leipzig	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Magdeburg II - Chemie Leipzig	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Berliner FC Dynamo - Chemie Leipzig	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Chemie Leipzig - Babelsberg	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Chemie Leipzig - Magdeburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLL
- FSV Zwickau
German Regionalliga Nordost
29.08.26	Zwickau - Babelsberg	1:0 ✺
26.08.26	RSV Eintracht - Zwickau	1:2
01.08.26	Zwickau - Greifswald	0:3 ✺
26.07.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Zwickau	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Sparta Prague B - Zwickau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
16.05.26	Zwickau - Chemie Leipzig	1:0
29.11.25	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	1:2
11.05.25	Zwickau - Chemie Leipzig	1:1
24.11.24	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	0:2
10.03.24	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	1:2
22.09.23	Zwickau - Chemie Leipzig	0:0
Club Friendly
30.06.21	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	1:7

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