Match Info

Date: 24 February 2020, Monday


	Chemnitzer		Bayern Munich II

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.4
	2.55	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.63	3.45	2.4
	2.51	3.56	2.38
	2.64	3.81	2.47
	2.62	3.6	2.35
	2.85	3.26	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.48)	3.55 ↑ (3.52)	2.43 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemnitzer
35.3%

Draw
26.3%

Bayern Munich II
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

19.1%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemnitzer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Bayern Munich II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chemnitzer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich II than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	14.8%	70.4%

Chemnitzer - Bayern Munich II Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Chemnitzer will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Bayern II will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern II: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemnitzer FC
German 3 Bundesliga
15.02.20	Magdeburg - Chemnitzer	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.20	Auerbach - Chemnitzer	2:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
09.02.20	Chemnitzer - Hallescher	3:0 ✺
01.02.20	Meppen - Chemnitzer	1:2 ✺
25.01.20	Chemnitzer - Viktoria Köln	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTWWT
- Bayern Munich II
German 3 Bundesliga
17.02.20	Bayern Munich II - Hallescher	6:1 ✺
08.02.20	Viktoria Köln - Bayern Munich II	2:4 ✺
01.02.20	Bayern Munich II - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
26.01.20	Uerdingen - Bayern Munich II	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.20	Bayern Munich II - Ulm 1846	1:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
24.08.19	Bayern Munich II - Chemnitzer	2:2

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