Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Cherepovets		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	2.69	3.19	2.53
	2.42	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.41)	3.1 ↑ (2.93)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherepovets
35.6%

Draw
29.4%

Chertanovo
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Cherepovets - Chertanovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Kondrashov D. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Antsiferov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
85', 1 - 2, Rebrov S. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Kavtrev E. ⚽,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cherepovets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cherepovets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cherepovets	24	10	3	11	29:37	-8	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cherepovets
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
11.05.26	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Cherepovets	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Cherepovets - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Spartak 2 Moscow - Cherepovets	4:0 ✺
12.04.26	Cherepovets - Volga Tver	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Iskra Smolensk - Cherepovets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWLWW
- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
10.05.26	Chertanovo - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Volga Tver - Chertanovo	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Chertanovo - Iskra Smolensk	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Murom - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Chertanovo - Luki-Energiya	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
10.08.25	Cherepovets - Chertanovo	0:4
20.04.25	Chertanovo - Cherepovets	3:1

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