Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Bilbija L. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1


	Cherno More Varna		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.6	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.63
	5.5	3.75	1.6	Watch
	5.78	3.71	1.59
				Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.95
	5.09	3.75	1.71	Watch
	3.52	3.26	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (3.53)	3.55 ↑ (3.28)	1.75 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherno More Varna
19.8%

Draw
26.5%

İstanbul Başakşehir
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.9%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cherno More Varna's form might have worsened.

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbul Başakşehir's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	12.5%	81.2%

Cherno More Varna - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cherno More (3.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 - Başakşehir (10.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Başakşehir (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 1 - 10%). Başakşehir (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Iliev P. (G) 8. Donchev A. 3. Atanasov Z. 28. Drobarov V. 2. Panov T. 71. Panayotov V. (C) 24. Teles D. 99. Weslen Junior 10. Chandarov A. 39. Zlatev N. 77. Sidney C.	16. Sengezer M. (G) 6. Bulut O. 5. Duarte L. 27. Ba O. 21. Operi C. 13. Crespo M. 2. Ozdemir B. 42. Sahiner O. (C) 7. Sari Y. 10. Da Costa N. 77. Brnic I.
Substitutes
26. Joao Bandaro 11. Joao Pedro 22. Kostadinov N. 19. Lazarov G. 70. Manasiev A. (G) 15. Martin D. 17. Milushev M. 20. Phellipe 4. Stefanov R. 81. Tomov K. (G) 23. Tonev D.	1. Babacan V. (G) 17. Beyaz O. 34. Dilek Y. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 36. Ebosele F. 4. Ergun O. 20. Gunes U. 15. Gureler H. 8. Kemen O. 9. Selke D. 14. Shomurodov E. 23. Turuc D.
Coaches
Iliev I.	Atan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+4', Sidney C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Ba O. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Sahiner O. ⚽, Da Costa N. (A),
62', Zlatev N. ↓, Lazarov G. ↑,
62', Chandarov A. ↓, Tonev D. ↑,
66', Ba O. ↓, Gureler H. ↑,
66', Sahiner O. ↓, Kemen O. ↑,
73', Brnic I. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
73', Da Costa N. ↓, Turuc D. ↑,
79', Weslen Junior ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
82', Atanasov Z. 🟨,
83', Sidney C. ↓, Phellipe ↑,
88', Ozdemir B. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
90+6', Donchev A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Huvepharma Arena.

Cherno More is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Başakşehir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Başakşehir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.

In this match, Başakşehir is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.07.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Cherno More Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	4:1 ✺
01.07.25	Cherno More Varna - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4:1 ✺
18.06.25	Farul Constanța - Cherno More Varna	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.05.25	Cherno More Varna - Levski Sofia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWT
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1 ✺
16.07.25	Reichenau - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:4 ✺
13.07.25	Hertha Berlin - İstanbul Başakşehir	Canceled ✺
09.07.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
30.05.25	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WW?TL

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