Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: efbet Arena (Burgas)


	Chernomorets Burgas		Belasitsa Petrich

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.85	11
	1.22	4.91	11.52
	1.30	4.80	9.49	Watch
	1.25	4.85	10.7	Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.48)	4.58 ↑ (3.6)	9.64 ↑ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Burgas
70.3%

Draw
20.1%

Belasitsa Petrich
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

24.6%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

23.4%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Burgas's performance.

Belasitsa Petrich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belasitsa Petrich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Burgas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belasitsa Petrich than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belasitsa Petrich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chernomorets Burgas - Belasitsa Petrich Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Belasitsa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Todorov D. (G) 4. Avramov D. 13. Correia 11. Dobrev K. 5. Genchev P. 10. Kostadinov D. 19. Pavlov D. 9. Petkov Z. 66. Staykov G. 87. Traykov S. 17. Tsonev M.	1. Georgiev K. (G) 88. Gamakov M. 99. Ivanov D. 22. Kostov V. 14. Marchev I. 19. Petrov H. 8. Santana Y. 7. Shamkalov A. 10. Smilkov A. 6. Todorski M. 21. Yordanov K.
Substitutes
6. Georgiev P. 7. Hyusein H. 12. Kaishev M. (G) 33. Kostenski R. 29. Krastev K. 15. Slavov S. 22. Stefanov S.	90. Gushterov A. 12. Karparov A. (G) 9. Sadik I. 17. Sanches V. 77. Tonny 20. Vassilev D. 91. Yanev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Chernomorets Burgas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Belasitsa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Chernomorets Burgas is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets Burgas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Chernomorets Burgas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.25	Dunav Ruse - Chernomorets Burgas	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Vihren Sandanski	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	CSKA Sofia II - Chernomorets Burgas	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Spartak Pleven	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Chernomorets Burgas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTWT
- Belasitsa Petrich
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:3 ✺
15.09.25	Ludogorets II - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Dunav Ruse - Belasitsa Petrich	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Vihren Sandanski	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	CSKA Sofia II - Belasitsa Petrich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.12.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Belasitsa Petrich	1:3
29.07.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Chernomorets Burgas	1:1

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