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Current Win Probability
Chertanovo 15.4%
Draw 21%
Lokomotiv Moscow 63.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.5%
23.9%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
23.6%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chertanovo's form might have worsened.
Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chertanovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chertanovo - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Dudorova V. (C) 33. Kamorina Y. 7. Novik D. 88. Tkachenko V. 13. Koptsova M. 28. Belyaeva V. 69. Kryukova V. 23. Zakharova D. 10. Golik E. 8. Shkalova A. 30. Sokach V.
81. Shirokova M. (G) 5. Butkevich V. 55. Savina A. 63. Lakeeva V. 21. Bizenkova V. 24. Favour E. 78. Pavlova P. 17. Cubrilo J. 10. Yuklyaeva P. 20. Korovkina N. (C) 16. Sheina Y.
Substitutes
22. Akatyeva A. 6. Belousova O. 11. Belova N. 3. Gruzdeva E. 77. Prokhorchenko E. 35. Prokhorova S. (G) 9. Sakharova A. 14. Semina P. 71. Spiriadi S. 95. Vlasova V.
30. Agapkina K. (G) 89. Buwaro O. 28. Gaier A. (G) 4. Gasanova N. 88. Golovina D. 8. Kozyupa A. 99. Linnik A. 41. Solovyeva A. 67. Zalmieva A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Favour E. 🟨,
25', Sheina Y. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Yuklyaeva P. ⚽, Sheina Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Koptsova M. ↓, Sakharova A. ↑,
46', Belyaeva V. ↓, Belova N. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Sheina Y. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 0 - 3, Korovkina N. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Favour E. ↓, Buwaro O. ↑,
83', Cubrilo J. ↓, Linnik A. ↑,
83', Korovkina N. ↓, Golovina D. ↑,
84', Sokach V. ↓, Akatyeva A. ↑,
84', Zakharova D. ↓, Semina P. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo won 1.
In recent matches, Chertanovo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lokomotiv is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
In this match, Lokomotiv is the obvious favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 6:52. (average 0.3:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chertanovo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2:26. (average 0.2:2.6).
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Dudorova V. (C) 
Favour E. 
Cubrilo J. 
Buwaro O. 
Gaier A. (G) 
Kozyupa A. 
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