The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chertanovo U19 35%
Draw 25.1%
Dynamo Moscow U19 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
25.9%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
25.2%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chertanovo U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Dynamo Moscow U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo U19 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th in the Youth League (Relegation) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo U19 won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Chertanovo U19 (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Dynamo Moscow U19 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Chertanovo U19 has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:22 (averaging 1.6:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chertanovo U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:6 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).
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