Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 6

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday


	Chesham United		Beaconsfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.96	6.53
	1.33	5.2	7.1
	1.35	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	5.3 ↑ (5.2)	6.88 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
69.1%

Draw
17.4%

Beaconsfield Town
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

17.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

16.5%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Beaconsfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 2.

Chesham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Beaconsfield is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chesham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chesham is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chesham to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chesham won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
26.08.23	Dorchester Town - Chesham United	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Chesham United - Plymouth Parkway	4:3 ✺
15.08.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Chesham United - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Potters Bar Town - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW
- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
26.08.23	Beaconsfield Town - Tiverton Town	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	Hungerford Town - Beaconsfield Town	3:1 ✺
15.08.23	Beaconsfield Town - Hendon	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Beaconsfield Town - Merthyr Town	0:5 ✺
05.08.23	Salisbury - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.01.23	Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United	5:2
13.09.22	Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town	4:2
27.11.21	Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United	2:2
26.10.21	Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town	2:2
11.01.20	Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town	3:0
13.08.19	Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United	1:3
05.01.19	Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town	0:0

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