The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chiangmai 79.2%
Draw 13.7%
MOF Customs United 7.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
26.4%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.2%
26%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiangmai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chiangmai's performance.
MOF Customs United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MOF Customs United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiangmai than the current prediction. (-24%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chiangmai that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOF Customs United than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MOF Customs United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chiangmai won 1.
Recent matches Chiangmai is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Customs United is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Customs United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Chiangmai is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Chiangmai won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Chiangmai won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.