The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chiangmai United 33.3%
Draw 27%
Songkhla 39.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.1%
28.3%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
26.9%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiangmai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Songkhla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangmai United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Songkhla than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Chiangmai United - Songkhla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Wellington Smith ⚽,
41', 🟥,
41', (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 1 - 1, Mosquito (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 16th in the Relegation).
Chiangmai United has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Songkhla has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Chiangmai United has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chiangmai United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.