Match Info

Date: 26 February 2021, Friday


	Chiasso		Wil 1900

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	2.95	3	2.33
	3.07	3.2	2.47
	3	3	2.4
	3.02	3.08	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.66)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.4 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiasso
31.8%

Draw
29.6%

Wil 1900
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

21.3%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Wil 1900 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiasso than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chiasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wil 1900 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chiasso - Wil 1900 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Chiasso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wil is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 32 head-to-head matches Chiasso won 11 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 41-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Chiasso won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chiasso
Swiss Challenge League
20.02.21	Kriens - Chiasso	2:0 ✺
13.02.21	Chiasso - Schaffhausen	1:1 ✺
06.02.21	Grasshoppers - Chiasso	1:1 ✺
02.02.21	Chiasso - Lausanne Ouchy	0:0 ✺
29.01.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Chiasso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTTTL
- Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League
19.02.21	Wil 1900 - Grasshoppers	1:1 ✺
12.02.21	Wil 1900 - Lausanne Ouchy	2:0 ✺
05.02.21	Schaffhausen - Wil 1900	1:1 ✺
02.02.21	Wil 1900 - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:0 ✺
29.01.21	Kriens - Wil 1900	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
11.12.20	Wil 1900 - Chiasso	0:3
31.10.20	Chiasso - Wil 1900	1:1
30.07.20	Wil 1900 - Chiasso	1:1
22.02.20	Chiasso - Wil 1900	2:0
09.11.19	Wil 1900 - Chiasso	1:4
20.07.19	Chiasso - Wil 1900	0:1
26.05.19	Wil 1900 - Chiasso	1:2

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