The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Stars 21.4%
Draw 23.1%
Bay FC 55.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23%
24.7%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
22.3%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Bay FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bay FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chicago Stars - Bay FC Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Atkinson K. (G) 14. Wood T. 25. Farmer A. 34. Dellarose T. E. 29. Ouahabi L. 77. Lopez Millan M. 31. Gasper A. 16. Hayashi M. 8. Joseph J. 11. Gomes N. 10. Pinto B. A. (C)
29. Silkowitz J. (G) 10. Girelli C. 21. Cometti A. 18. Anderson J. 24. Moreau M. 8. Hutton C. 41. Bebar H. (C) 17. Pfeiffer A. 19. Bailey D. 47. Fuller K. 27. Barry K.
Substitutes
4. Bike J. 15. Evans E. 20. Franklin B. 23. Johnson M. 22. Mackiewicz H. (G) 1. Naeher A. (G) 3. Staab S. 9. Swanson M.
32. Allen E. (G) 16. Collins S. 23. Conti C. 13. Dahlkemper A. 2. Gilchrist H. 11. Hubly K. 7. Huff T. 5. Lema K. 1. Miller C. (G)
Coaches
Sjogren M.
Coates E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gasper A. ↓, Staab S. ↑,
50', Hutton C. 🟨,
57', Joseph J. ↓, Swanson M. ↑,
57', Wood T. ↓, Johnson M. ↑,
60', Girelli C. ↓, Huff T. ↑,
60', Bailey D. ↓, Collins S. ↑,
72', Anderson J. ↓, Gilchrist H. ↑,
75', Collins S. 🟨,
75', Pinto B. A. ↓, Franklin B. ↑,
79', Barry K. ↓, Lema K. ↑,
79', Pfeiffer A. ↓, Conti C. ↑,
90', Swanson M. ↓, Bike J. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).
Chicago is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bay is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).